Notes on Obama: a wager

Wednesday, 4 June 2008 — 4:15am

This space is typically free of politics, and it will remain that way. But I’d just like to air a little something about the race for our neighbour’s Presidency: since February, I have been telling people that regardless of whether he wins in November—indeed, regardless of whether or not he won the Democratic nomination, as he did tonight—Barack Obama will be TIME‘s Man of the Year.

The feature has become a bit of a farce over the years, and, like the magazine itself, has little of the glory that it once did when it actually believed in the conviction it promulgated, that history is a procession of Great Newsmakers. But nobody in recent memory has fit their criteria better. 2008 is less than half over, but barring a truly monumental world event (what, I can’t imagine), it isn’t even going to be close.

I’ll put big money on it. I recommend that you take the bet; I need the funding.

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2 rejoinders to “Notes on Obama: a wager”

  1. I’ll take that bet, assuming you’re offering even money. $10, say? It’s just that I think your prediction’s unreasonable – not in the least – I just think the chances of it being Obama are less than the aggregate chances of it being anyone else.

    Wednesday, 18 June 2008 at 12:34pm

  2. $10 it is. The year’s only half over, and there’s plenty of room for another Big Newsmaker in America’s eyes. My money, however, remains on the frontrunner. He may sink, he may swim, but he sure won’t disappear.

    Monday, 23 June 2008 at 1:00pm

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